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Institute for Social Vision Design

Prices

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Insights & Analysis

Why a 5%+ Wage Hike Still Leaves Workers Poorer — Decoding the 2026 Shuntō Data

Japan's 2026 spring wage negotiations delivered a 5.26% raise for the third consecutive year above 5%, yet real wages fell for the fourth straight year. This column dissects how inflation, social insurance premiums, and a new child-support levy erode take-home pay.

Insights & Analysis

The Structure of Price Hikes — Why Only Food Keeps Rising

Food CPI rose +6.8% year-on-year while the overall index climbed +3.2%. Why do food prices stand out? Japan's 38% food self-sufficiency rate, yen depreciation, the 2024 logistics crisis, and intermittent energy subsidies converged to push over 20,000 food items to price increases in 2025. The Engel coefficient reached 28.6%, the highest in 44 years. This article dissects the structure behind the 'price hikes.'

Insights & Analysis

Cities Where Prices Rose and Cities Where They Didn't — The Structure of Regional CPI Disparities

Visualizing regional price disparities invisible in Japan's national average CPI. Examining the gap between Tokyo (104.0) and Gunma (96.2), higher inflation rates in Hokkaido and Okinawa, and how price-adjusting minimum wages shrinks Tokyo's apparent 'affluence.'

Insights & Analysis

Japan's Consumption Tax Regressivity Depends on the Lens — Effective Burden Rates and the Social Insurance Blind Spot

Japan's consumption tax regressivity is a fact on an annual income basis, but some argue it is proportional over a lifetime. Households earning under 3 million yen bear an effective rate of 5.7%, while those earning over 10 million bear just 2.1%. The reduced rate has limited effect, and refundable tax credit discussions are accelerating. Combined with social insurance premium regressivity, we unpack the full picture of structural tax burdens.

Insights & Analysis

The Silent Erosion of Disposable Income — How Inflation and Rising Social Insurance Premiums Are Squeezing Household Finances in 2026

Real wages have declined four years in a row; the Engel coefficient has reached a 44-year high of 28.6%; the national burden rate stands at 46.2%. With rising prices and social insurance premiums advancing simultaneously in 2026, how is middle-class disposable income changing? This article reads through the three-layer structure of "invisible tax increases" using data from the Daiwa Institute of Research and the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.