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Institute for Social Vision Design

A Country Where Politicians Win Without Elections — 26% Uncontested and 2,000+ Seat Shortfalls Question the Meaning of "Representation"

ヨコタナオヤ
About 6 min read

In the 2023 unified local elections, 26% of prefectural assembly members were elected without a vote. In town and village councils, seat shortfalls exceeded 2,000. Can an election in which simply filing a candidacy guarantees a seat still be called an election? Voters denied the very opportunity to choose, and politicians who become "representatives" without receiving a single vote. This article reads the structural gap between the democratic ideal of popular sovereignty and the reality of local democracy.

TL;DR

  1. In the 2023 unified local elections, the uncontested election rate for prefectural assembly seats stood at 25.9%, and town and village councils recorded more than 2,000 seat shortfalls nationwide
  2. Uncontested council members have not received a single vote from constituents, yet they are legally recognized "representatives of residents" who exercise full voting rights in deliberations
  3. Overlapping factors — low remuneration, restrictions on outside employment, and population decline — have brought local councils to the point where their very survival is in question

What Is Happening

Elections are the bedrock of democracy. Voters evaluate candidates, cast their ballots, and the individual who commands the broadest support becomes a representative — this foundational premise is quietly unraveling in Japanese local politics.

In the first round of the 2023 unified local elections, the uncontested election rate for prefectural assembly seats reached 25.9%. More than one in four council members was declared elected without a vote ever being cast.

An uncontested election occurs when the number of candidates does not exceed the number of seats to be filled, making a ballot unnecessary and resulting in the automatic election of all candidates. This is a legally valid procedure under Article 100 of the Public Offices Election Act. For eligible voters, however, the opportunity to exercise the "right to choose" does not exist from the outset.

Still more alarming are the cases in which even an uncontested election is impossible. In town and village councils, seat shortfalls occurred in more than 2,000 instances across the country. Because the number of candidates does not reach the number of available seats, councils operate with vacancies. In some municipalities, mayoral elections have failed to proceed at all because not a single candidate came forward.

The question that arises is unambiguous: can a council member "elected" without a single vote being cast be described as a "representative" of the residents?

Background and Context

Why Are There No Candidates?

The root cause of uncontested elections is a shortage of candidates — a phenomenon widely described as a "candidate drought." Multiple structural factors are intertwined beneath the surface.

The first is the remuneration problem. In many town and village councils, monthly stipends can be as low as around 200,000 yen — an annual income of roughly 3 million yen. The contrast with a National Diet member's annual income of approximately 20 million yen (including allowances) is stark. In many municipalities, political activity allowances are zero. Because it is impossible to sustain a livelihood as a full-time council member, the pool of viable candidates is effectively limited to retirees.

The second is the difficulty of holding outside employment alongside council work. Local council members are legally permitted to hold other jobs, but because council sessions are concentrated on weekday daytimes, it is practically impossible for company employees to serve. The result is a structural skew toward those with flexible working arrangements — farmers and the self-employed.

The third is the direct impact of population decline. In depopulated areas, the base number of residents of candidacy age is itself small. In communities where the total adult population under 65 numbers only in the hundreds, finding viable council candidates has become an intrinsically difficult challenge.

The Long-Term Trend in Uncontested Election Rates

1999
15.5%
2003
17.5%
2007
19.8%
2011
16.6%
2015
21.9%
2019
26.9%
2023
25.9%
Over 25% (1 in 4+ uncontested)

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications

Uncontested Election Rate for Prefectural Assembly Members (Unified Local Elections)

Uncontested elections are not a transient phenomenon. The uncontested rate in unified local elections has been on a sustained upward trajectory over the long term. In the 1990s, the uncontested rate for prefectural assembly elections was considerably lower than today; it crossed 20% in the 2010s, and in 2023 reached the second-highest level on record.

It is important to note that this increase reflects not voters "disengaging from politics" but candidates "disengaging from councils." Declining voter turnout is a problem on the demand side — voters. The rise in uncontested elections is a problem on the supply side — "there are no candidates." No matter how willing voters are to participate, an election cannot take place if there are no candidates to choose from.

The "Pre-Election" Problem

In recent years, uncontested elections for municipal mayors have become increasingly common. The head of a local government — the very top of a municipality — is decided without an election. This is qualitatively different from the problem of "low voter turnout." In a low-turnout election, the right to vote at least exists. In an uncontested election, that right does not exist at all.

In the case of seat shortfalls, the situation is even more serious: decisions are made by a council that has not reached its legally mandated membership. The allocation of residents' tax revenue is determined by a council that is either unelected by anyone or incompletely constituted.

Reading the Structure

A council member elected uncontested occupies a legally fully legitimate position. Having been elected in accordance with the provisions of the Public Offices Election Act, such a member possesses the same voting rights and interpellation rights as any other member of the council. From the standpoint of democratic principle, however, the member embodies an inherent contradiction: a "representative" who has never received a mandate from the residents.

This contradiction has until now been treated as a "local issue." But its scope is expanding. The fact that one quarter of prefectural assembly members win without a contest, and that seat shortfalls in town and village councils have become routine, means that the sustainability of Japan's system of local self-governance is itself now in question.

Several municipalities have attempted reforms: increasing council remuneration, introducing political activity allowances, enabling online council sessions, and holding evening and weekend council meetings. Takatogi Village in Nagano Prefecture is a well-known example of success — it reduced the number of council seats while raising remuneration, and managed to secure candidates. Some municipalities in Hokkaido have amended their bylaws to permit remote attendance.

These measures, however, are palliative rather than structural. As long as population decline continues, the candidate shortage will accelerate. Reducing the number of council seats makes it possible to increase remuneration per member, but narrows the "window" through which residents' voices can be heard. Online council sessions lower the physical barrier to attendance but do not reach the root of the candidate shortage.

A further question remains. Should local councils continue to exist in their current form? The 32nd Local Government System Advisory Council deliberated on "diverse models of council composition" in relation to small municipalities. Options that transcend the conventional "one municipality, one council" model have been examined — including transition to a general assembly of residents, easing restrictions on outside employment for council members, and the joint establishment of councils across neighboring municipalities.

Council members are decided without elections; councils that lack sufficient members determine the budget. Calling on citizens to "go and vote" in response to this reality serves no purpose. There is nowhere to go to vote.

What is at stake is not the civic consciousness of the electorate. The question is whether representative democracy as an institutional form can adapt to the irreversible transformation of population decline — and that is the question itself.



References

第20回統一地方選挙 発表資料総務省. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications

地方選挙をめぐる状況と課題(令和5年統一地方選挙)参議院調査室. House of Councillors Research Office

国政選挙における年代別投票率の推移総務省. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications

Further Reading

Questions to Reflect On

  1. Was an election actually held in the council of the municipality where you live at the last local election cycle?
  2. Do you feel any unease about a council member who has never received a single vote exercising full voting rights?
  3. If a local council member's annual salary were approximately 3 million yen, would you consider running for office?

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