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Institute for Social Vision Design

Closing Libraries, Digging Shelters — The Tradeoff Between Defense Expansion and Cultural Budget Cuts

Naoya Yokota
About 7 min read

Defense spending at ¥8.7 trillion, the Agency for Cultural Affairs at ¥106 billion. In FY2025, when defense outpaced education spending by 2.1x, Japan approved a national shelter construction plan. Taiwan can shelter more than three times its population and Switzerland very nearly all of its own, while Japan has about 4,000 underground facilities. This article examines the structural asymmetry of protecting citizens from missiles while defunding protection against poverty, information gaps, and social isolation.

TL;DR

  1. In FY2025, Japan's defense budget reached ¥8.7 trillion — 2.1 times education spending — while the Culture Agency budget remains 1/80th of defense
  2. Japan has some 61,000 designated evacuation facilities but only about 4,000 underground ones, against Taiwan's 100,000 shelters and Switzerland's 370,000
  3. Austerity-driven library and museum closures in the UK and US have disproportionately harmed the most economically vulnerable communities

What Is Happening

Defense at ¥8.7T vs Culture Agency at ¥106B; Japan has 4,000 underground shelters to Taiwan's 100,000; library closures accelerating

In fiscal year 2025, Japan's defense-related expenditure reached ¥8.7005 trillion. An increase of approximately ¥750 billion from the prior year, bringing the figure to roughly 1.8% of GDP. Since fiscal year 2022, when defense spending stood at ¥5.4 trillion, the budget has expanded by approximately ¥1 trillion annually.

In that same fiscal year, education and science promotion expenditure came to ¥5.5496 trillion, of which science and technology promotion accounted for ¥1.4221 trillion. Net of science and technology, education-related expenditure was ¥4.1275 trillion — defense spending had grown to 2.1 times that figure. The Agency for Cultural Affairs' annual budget stands at a mere ¥106.3 billion — roughly one-eightieth of the defense budget. Visualized, the asymmetry in scale becomes stark.

Defense8.7¥T(FY2025)
Education4.1¥T(FY2025)
Culture Agency¥106B(FY2024 approx. ¥106.2B)

×2.1Defense spending is approx. 2.1x education, 82x the Culture Agency budget

* Defense: Ministry of Defense; Education: Ministry of Finance general account; Culture Agency: Agency for Cultural Affairs budget overview.

Japan: Defense vs Education vs Culture Agency Budget (¥ trillion) — Government Sources

The shelter policy decision

On March 31, 2026, the Cabinet approved a basic policy for securing "shelters" against missile attacks. The stated objective is to ensure sufficient facilities at the municipal level to accommodate all residents by 2030. Yet of the designated emergency temporary evacuation facilities, approximately 61,000 nationwide, some 54,000 are public buildings, and only about 4,000 are the underground facilities that offer meaningful protection against missile strikes.

Taiwan has constructed 100,000 shelters, with capacity for more than three times its population. Switzerland maintains 370,000 shelters built during the Cold War, enough for very nearly the entire resident population. Finland has about 50,500 shelters with space for 4.8 million people, roughly 85% of them private reinforced-concrete shelters inside individual buildings.

CountryCoverage
Taiwan370%
~86M (105K sites)3.7x total population
Switzerland107%
~9M (370K sites)Cold War-era, modernizing
Finland85%
~4.8M (50K sites)83% NBC-capable
Japan5%
~3,900 underground facilitiesUnderground only. 61K total designated
100%+50–99%Japan (5%)

* Japan's 5% covers underground facilities effective against missile attacks only. Including all 61,000 designated sites, most are above-ground structures.

Shelter Population Coverage by Country (%) — Government and Media Sources

Investing in infrastructure to protect citizens from missiles possesses its own security rationale. The problem lies in the simultaneous erosion of cultural infrastructure, funded from the same fiscal base.

Background & Context

UK lost 150+ libraries since 2016 with poorest areas hit 4x harder; US IMLS abolition attempt; austerity cuts harm the most vulnerable

Cultural Infrastructure Under Siege

Japan's national museums and art institutions face an existential threat. The Agency for Cultural Affairs has set a target under the next medium-term plan (from FY2026) requiring national museums and art institutions to achieve a self-generated revenue ratio of 65% or higher. Failure to meet this threshold could trigger restructuring reviews, including potential closures. The ultimate objective is a self-revenue ratio of 100% — meaning zero operating grants.

Public libraries, too, are quietly contracting. Japan has 3,316 libraries, of which 19 are private, while materials spending came to ¥28.05 billion for the year, down slightly from ¥28.42 billion the year before. As of FY2022, 674 libraries have adopted the , and persistent criticism holds that cost-reduction-oriented management undermines the accumulation of specialized knowledge and institutional continuity.

The UK Precedent

The United Kingdom has experienced the consequences of cultural facility cuts in advance of other nations.

Since 2010, local authority spending on public libraries has been cut by approximately 50% in real terms. The cumulative reduction amounts to £329 million after inflation adjustment. Since 2016, approximately 125 libraries have been physically closed in England, with a further 100 transferred to community groups. Even accounting for 75 newly established libraries, the net result is a loss of 150 libraries.

Closure rates ran four times higher in the poorest areas

The distribution of these closures demands attention. The most deprived local authorities experienced closure rates four times higher than the least deprived. The disappearance of libraries inflicted concentrated damage on those communities most in need of information access.

The impact on museums and cultural institutions has been equally severe. Local authority spending on culture and leisure in England has been reduced by £2.3 billion since 2010, with the expenditure share falling from 7.4% to 4.5% — effectively halved.

The IMLS Abolition Shock in the United States

In 2025, the Trump administration issued Executive Order 14238 directing the "maximum abolition" of IMLS (Institute of Museum and Library Services). All but 12 of approximately 75 staff members were placed on administrative leave, and federal grants already committed to libraries in California, Connecticut, and Washington were subject to early termination.

According to the ALA (American Library Association), IMLS's annual budget of approximately $250 million had been the infrastructure undergirding internet access and vocational training in rural and low-income areas. Its abolition threatened to deepen the digital divide in communities already experiencing severe information access disparities.

Attorneys general from 21 states filed suit. In November 2025, a federal district court in Rhode Island ruled the administration's actions unlawful. In April 2026, the administration withdrew its appeal, bringing the crisis toward resolution. However, during this period, New York City's three public library systems (NYPL, Brooklyn, Queens) were handed $58.3 million in operating cuts and $125 million cut from their capital budgets — the most severe proposed since the years following the 2008 financial crisis.

The Invisible Defense Libraries Provide

Libraries are not mere book-lending facilities. As Japan's Ministry of Education defines them, they serve as "centers of information and knowledge for local residents" — social infrastructure serving all inhabitants from children to the elderly.

A study of the San Diego Central Library (2019, n=63) found that in the six years following the hiring of a clinical social worker, over 150 individuals secured permanent housing, while 800 received other forms of assistance. Research by the NEA (National Endowment for the Arts) has documented positive correlations between the presence and use of libraries and museums and community health indicators, educational outcomes, and employment. These effects are more pronounced in rural areas.

These functions constitute defense against poverty, defense against information inequality, and defense against social isolation. Yet in the hierarchy of budget priorities, such "invisible defense" is treated as incomparably less important than defense against missiles and military threats.

Reading the Structure

Examines the asymmetry in the question of what citizens are protected from, and the paradox of dual-use public cultural facilities

Consider the numbers once more. Defense: ¥8.7005 trillion. Education-related expenditure: ¥4.1275 trillion. Culture Agency: ¥106.3 billion. Shelters: Taiwan has capacity for more than three times its population, Japan about 4,000 underground facilities. These four figures articulate the present Japanese state's answer to a foundational question: what are citizens to be protected from?

Skewed defence, the dual-use paradox, irreversible cuts

The first structural issue is the asymmetry of protection embedded in the budget. The increase in defense spending is justified by changes in the security environment: China's military expansion, North Korea's ballistic missile launches, Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Strengthening defense capability in response to these geopolitical risks carries policy rationale. But if the process of securing those funds systematically erodes cultural infrastructure, it reveals that the definition of "security" itself is too narrow. Protecting bodies from missiles constitutes security. Does the loss of access to knowledge, information, and culture not constitute insecurity?

The second structural issue is the paradox of dual-use facilities. Japan's shelter design philosophy embraces repurposing existing underground spaces — subway stations, underground shopping arcades, parking structures — to serve both peacetime public functions and wartime shelter needs. Extending this "dual-use" logic leads to a recognition that libraries and museums are themselves "infrastructure for protecting citizens" in peacetime. As the San Diego case demonstrates, libraries have served as bases for homelessness outreach, spaces for vocational training, and points of social contact for isolated elderly individuals. They constitute a different species of "shelter" — the nucleus of social defense in times of peace.

The third structural issue is the irreversibility of cuts. What the British experience teaches is that once a library closes, it rarely reopens. Buildings are repurposed, collections dispersed, and specialists move to other professions. How many decades would it take for England to recover the 150 libraries lost over a single decade — or is recovery simply impossible? The research capabilities accumulated by museum curators, the conservation and restoration expertise for artworks, the records of local cultural heritage — all represent "invisible assets" that cannot be reconstructed once lost. Shelters can be dug given sufficient budget. But cultural accumulation forms only through time and sustained human endeavor.

The Nordic reference point

The Nordic countries offer one reference point. Finland's per-capita library spending stands at 60.1 euros, approximately six times that of Germany. Simultaneously, Finland maintains about 50,500 civil defence shelters with space for 4.8 million people. Nations exist that invest in both cultural and military infrastructure rather than treating them as a zero-sum trade.

"What are we protecting citizens from?" The answer to this question is already written in the budget numbers.



References

FY2025 Defense Budget OverviewMinistry of Defense, Japan (2025). Ministry of Defense

FY2024 Agency for Cultural Affairs Budget OverviewAgency for Cultural Affairs (2024). Agency for Cultural Affairs

Cabinet Approves Shelter Policy for Municipal-Level Full CoverageJiji Press (2026). Jiji Press

Federal Council wants to modernize ageing shelters due to warsswissinfo.ch (2024). swissinfo.ch

IMLS Cuts Put America's Public Libraries at RiskAmerican Library Association (2025). ALA

£232 million cut to UK public libraries since 2010Public Libraries News (2024). Public Libraries News

Homelessness at the San Diego Central Library: Assessing the Potential Role of Social WorkersE. Burns, K. C. Land (2019). PMC

Reference Books

Statistics cited in this article

  1. 1Ministry of Defense FY2025 Budget Overview(FY2025) Open source
  2. 2Ministry of Finance FY2025 Budget Proposal(FY2025) Open source
  3. 3Agency for Cultural Affairs, FY2026 Budget Overview (with FY2025 initial budget)(FY2025) Open source
  4. 4Jiji Press(March 2026) Open source
  5. 5Nikkei(2022) Open source
  6. 6Swiss Federal Office for Civil Protection(2025) Open source
  7. 7Finnish Ministry of the Interior(2024) Open source
  8. 8Bijutsu Techo(2026) Open source
  9. 9Japan Library Association, Public Library Tabulation(2020) Open source
  10. 10Japan Library Association(2022) Open source
  11. 11Public Libraries News(2024) Open source
  12. 12Museums Association(2024) Open source
  13. 13The New York Public Library(2024) Open source
  14. 14PMC(2019) Open source
  15. 15NAPLE Forum(2024) Open source

Corrections

  1. The culture budget and the international shelter comparison were still the old figures in the social copy.

    Before
    Culture Agency 106.2 billion yen / Taiwan 370%, Japan 5%
    After
    Culture Agency 106.3 billion yen / Taiwan has 100,000 shelters for over three times its population; Japan has about 61,000 evacuation sites, about 4,000 underground

    Why we got it wrong The Swiss and Finnish figures were dropped from the body on 2026-08-18 but survived in the social copy.

  2. Repointed the 106.3 billion yen culture budget at a document whose contents can actually be read.

    Before
    Source: Agency for Cultural Affairs, outline of the FY2025 budget (the PDF is corrupt and its text cannot be extracted)
    After
    Source: Agency for Cultural Affairs, outline of the FY2026 budget, which gives both years as 106.3 billion yen rising to 107.3 billion

    Why we got it wrong When this figure was corrected earlier today, the PDF cited as its source turned out to be malformed and could not be read. It now points to the FY2026 overview, which states the figure for both FY2025 and FY2026.

  3. Corrected the education budget, shelter counts and population coverage, the number of public libraries, and the New York Public Library budget cut.

    Before
    Education and culture spending of about 4.1275 trillion yen / an Agency for Cultural Affairs budget of about 106.2 billion / about 3,900 underground facilities nationally, covering about 5% of the population / Taiwan with about 105,000 at about 370% of its population / Switzerland with about 370,000 at 107% / Finland with about 50,000 at 85%
    After
    5.5496 trillion yen, of which 1.4221 trillion is science and technology promotion / 106.3 billion yen / about 61,000 facilities nationally, of which about 54,000 are public / Taiwan has built 100,000 shelters, more than three times its population

    Why we got it wrong The education budget confused the category that includes science and technology promotion with the one that does not. The shelter counts conflated all designated evacuation facilities with underground shelters. The coverage figures for other countries also did not match the sources.

Questions to Reflect On

  1. Has your local public library maintained or reduced its services compared to five years ago?
  2. Does 'protecting citizens' mean only defense against military threats?
  3. What does treating cultural spending as a 'cost' rather than an investment make invisible?

Key Terms in This Article

Designated Manager System
A system under Japan's Local Autonomy Act that allows private operators and NPOs to manage public facilities. Introduced in 2003 to improve efficiency and service quality, though typically short designation periods (3-5 years) can hinder long-term investment.

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